First articulated in the 18th century by a hobbyist-mathematician seeking to reason backward from effects to cause, Bayes’ theorem spent the better part of two centuries struggling for recognition and ...

We all need to make hundreds of decisions every day. Decision research suggests that the average adult makes about 35,000 remotely conscious decisions each day. But not always are we presented with ...

Bayesian estimation and maximum likelihood methods represent two central paradigms in modern statistical inference. Bayesian estimation incorporates prior beliefs through Bayes’ theorem, updating ...

Our eyes, gestures, and tone bring us together in a more profound way than words alone. It’s why we look hopefully toward the return of in-person, face-to-face connection. In science, progress is ...