A portion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted on Tuesday, possibly signaling that the U.S. economy could fall ...

My last article on AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was published a bit more than a month ago. To wit, that article was titled "AGNC Investment: Let Your Profits Run" and was published on February 11, ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

In last week's commentary we spoke about the big bounce of the S&P 500 (SPY) that got us back in the mix of all the key trend lines (50/100/200 day moving averages). And likely we would be stuck in a ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Last week was a big week for markets, as the trade war that everyone has been warning about has finally arrived. Despite what some of our most epic posters might tell you, the trade war is not off ...

Germany's bond market flashed a historic warning with an inverted yield curve, signaling severe eurodollar strain beyond just ...

Get all latest & breaking news on Inverted Yield Curve. Watch videos, top stories and articles on Inverted Yield Curve at ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in ...

Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide to plot your own financial data.